FCSB 2-2 Rapid Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
1.00/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/0.42
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.89 xG 0.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 276
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 4-0 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
05.11.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-2 HT 0-2 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
27.05.2023 FCSB FCSB 1-5 HT 0-3 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
23.04.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-0 HT 1-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
06.11.2022 FCSB FCSB 3-1 HT 2-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
24.07.2022 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-0 HT 2-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
2-2
AWAY Rapid Bucarest
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Rapid Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB and Rapid Bucarest shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FCSB had 70% of the ball to Rapid Bucarest's 30%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Bucarest led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FCSB and 2.50 for Rapid Bucarest.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Rapid Bucarest?

FCSB 2-2 Rapid Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Rapid Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FCSB 42%, draw 26%, Rapid Bucarest 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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