Kızılyıldız 3-2 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.6pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.1pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.71/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.56
+39% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +26%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 69%
48.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
28.1 Crosses 14.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FK Partizan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 1.21
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
336 Passes 197
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
44 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
20.12.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-1 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
26.04.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
03.03.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
31.08.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
26.05.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRBK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
3-2
AWAY FK Partizan
4.63 xG 0.85
65% Ball Possession 35%
27 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
382 Passes 149
85% Pass Accuracy 61%
47 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız nicked a narrow win over FK Partizan 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 65% of the ball to FK Partizan's 35%, shots finished 27-8, expected goals 4.63 to 0.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kızılyıldız and 1.00 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs FK Partizan?

Kızılyıldız 3-2 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 57%, draw 23%, FK Partizan 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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