Backa Topola 3-2 Vojvodina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vojvodina EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.19/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.39
-17% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
23.0 Crosses 15.4
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vojvodina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
326 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.04.2024 Vojvodina Vojvodina 3-2 HT 2-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.11.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-2 HT 1-2 Vojvodina Vojvodina SIRP
07.04.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-1 HT 1-0 Vojvodina Vojvodina SIRP
08.10.2022 Vojvodina Vojvodina 1-2 HT 1-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
22.05.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 HT 0-0 Vojvodina Vojvodina SIRP
06.03.2022 Vojvodina Vojvodina 0-1 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
3-2
AWAY Vojvodina
1.77 xG 0.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 Passes 426
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Vojvodina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola edged past Vojvodina 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Backa Topola found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Backa Topola had 41% of the ball to Vojvodina's 59%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.77 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vojvodina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Backa Topola and 1.50 for Vojvodina.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Vojvodina?

Backa Topola 3-2 Vojvodina in the Serbia - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Vojvodina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 39%, draw 26%, Vojvodina 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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