Vojvodina 3-2 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vojvodina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
0.96/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.87
+4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.9 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vojvodina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
233 Passes 328
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-2 HT 1-2 Vojvodina Vojvodina SIRP
07.04.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-1 HT 1-0 Vojvodina Vojvodina SIRP
08.10.2022 Vojvodina Vojvodina 1-2 HT 1-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
22.05.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 HT 0-0 Vojvodina Vojvodina SIRP
06.03.2022 Vojvodina Vojvodina 0-1 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
25.09.2021 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Vojvodina Vojvodina SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vojvodina
3-2
AWAY Backa Topola
1.18 xG 2.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
216 Passes 262
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vojvodina vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vojvodina nicked a narrow win over Backa Topola 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vojvodina as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vojvodina had 47% of the ball to Backa Topola's 53%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.18 to 2.05 — on chances, Backa Topola could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vojvodina and 1.00 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Vojvodina vs Backa Topola?

Vojvodina 3-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vojvodina vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vojvodina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vojvodina 41%, draw 29%, Backa Topola 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vojvodina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vojvodina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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