Napredak Krusevac 0-2 Radnik Surdulica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

Napredak Krusevac
0-2 HT 0-1
Radnik Surdulica
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2023/2024

Napredak Krusevac vs Radnik Surdulica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napredak Krusevac v Radnik Surdulica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
1.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.23
-17% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
22.9 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Napredak Krusevac vs Radnik Surdulica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.74 xG 1.06
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 219
68% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-2 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
30.04.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
12.04.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
15.10.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
21.02.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
10.09.2021 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP

Napredak Krusevac 0-2 Radnik Surdulica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0-2
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
0.90 xG 1.07
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
249 Passes 144
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Radnik Surdulica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Surdulica beat Napredak Krusevac 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Napredak Krusevac at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 61% of the ball to Radnik Surdulica's 39%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.90 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napredak Krusevac had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 0.50 for Radnik Surdulica.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Radnik Surdulica?

Napredak Krusevac 0-2 Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Radnik Surdulica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 45%, draw 28%, Radnik Surdulica 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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