Kızılyıldız 3-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.68
Over 2.5
59%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.2pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.9pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.69/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.69
+35% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / -23%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
461 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
47.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
27.4 Crosses 16.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.22 xG 0.91
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
503 Passes 165
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
54 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-2 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
3-0
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
3.49 xG 0.31
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
456 Passes 266
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
49 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız swept aside Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 61% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 39%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 3.49 to 0.31.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Kızılyıldız 3-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 69%, draw 17%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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