Al Akhdoud 1-2 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.05/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.54
-61% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
24.8 Crosses 17.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Damac FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.70 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-2
AWAY Damac FC
2.30 xG 0.92
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
300 Passes 364
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC squeezed past Al Akhdoud 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Damac FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 47% of the ball to Damac FC's 53%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.30 to 0.92 — on chances, Al Akhdoud could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Damac FC?

Al Akhdoud 1-2 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Akhdoud win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 36%, draw 28%, Damac FC 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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