Al Hazm 2-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 20 Apr 2024

Al Hazm
2-3 HT 0-1
Al Ittihad-Jeddah
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Al Hazm vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
52%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.84 — our 28% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
52%
Away Win
56%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Hazm v Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 60%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.15/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.88
+0% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +59%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 84%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
16.4 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Hazm vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hazm
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.19 xG 1.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 372
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
18.03.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
28.10.2021 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
05.03.2020 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
04.10.2019 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
16.03.2019 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD

Al Hazm 2-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
2-3
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.06 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
319 Passes 415
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 44
20 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Hazm vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Hazm 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ittihad-Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Hazm had 44% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 56%, shots finished 19-23, expected goals 2.06 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Hazm.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Hazm and 1.83 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Hazm vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Hazm 2-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hazm vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 23%, draw 26%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✗ BTTS No
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