Kalmar 2-0 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Apr 2025

Kalmar
2-0 HT 0-0
Östersunds FK
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Kalmar vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.28
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
51%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.77 — our 51% vs market 48.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.8
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
17.6
X/1
21%
3.85
X/2
6%
13.7
X/X
14%
5.8
2/1
8%
24.2
2/2
8%
12.1
2/X
6%
20.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.2pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 17%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.35
-45% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
466 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Kalmar vs Östersunds FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Östersunds FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 0.99
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
414 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.08.2021 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
12.04.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
17.08.2020 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
01.07.2020 Kalmar Kalmar 1-2 HT 1-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
14.09.2019 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
05.05.2019 Kalmar Kalmar 1-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ

Kalmar 2-0 Östersunds FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
2-0
AWAY Östersunds FK
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar beat Östersunds FK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kalmar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Kalmar had 39% of the ball to Östersunds FK's 61%, shots finished 11-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kalmar and 1.00 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Östersunds FK?

Kalmar 2-0 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 52%, draw 29%, Östersunds FK 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalmar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kalmar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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