Trelleborgs FF 0-1 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 35% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.85
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.72
X/2
12%
7.46
X/X
17%
4.34
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
7%
5.8
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -18%
1.49/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.65
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
3W-2D-1L
AWAY IK Brage
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 1-0 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
17.06.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
16.09.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 1-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
05.06.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
18.09.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 1-2 HT 1-2 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
30.04.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trelleborgs FF
0-1
AWAY IK Brage
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage nicked a narrow win over Trelleborgs FF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; IK Brage found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Trelleborgs FF had 61% of the ball to IK Brage's 39%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 0.83 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs IK Brage?

Trelleborgs FF 0-1 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 40%, draw 32%, IK Brage 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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