IK Brage 1-0 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 19 Oct 2024

IK Brage
1-0 HT 1-0
Trelleborgs FF
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Brage vs Trelleborgs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.21
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
13%
4.3
X/2 EV+ ✗
13%
8.83
X/X
10%
6.33
2/1
8%
19.95
2/2
9%
5.87
2/X
7%
14.65
Value flag · X/2 at 8.83 — our 13% vs market 7.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.7pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Brage v Trelleborgs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.81/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.42
+7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

IK Brage vs Trelleborgs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.06.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
16.09.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 1-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
05.06.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
18.09.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 1-2 HT 1-2 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
30.04.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
11.09.2021 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 3-1 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage nicked a narrow win over Trelleborgs FF 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IK Brage as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for IK Brage and 1.67 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Trelleborgs FF?

IK Brage 1-0 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 48%, draw 24%, Trelleborgs FF 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Brage) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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