Östersunds FK 2-1 Landskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.12
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.1
X/1
13%
6.01
X/2
14%
5.15
X/X
13%
4.69
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
17%
3.32
2/X
6%
13.0
Value flag · 1/X at 13.1 — our 10% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Landskrona EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.48/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.38
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Landskrona
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Landskrona Landskrona 4-3 HT 2-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
02.03.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇK
05.08.2023 Landskrona Landskrona 0-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
15.07.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 4-1 HT 1-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
07.08.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
23.07.2022 Landskrona Landskrona 1-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Landskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK edged past Landskrona 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Östersunds FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Östersunds FK and 1.17 for Landskrona.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Landskrona?

Östersunds FK 2-1 Landskrona in the Sweden - Superettan on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Landskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Landskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 34%, draw 29%, Landskrona 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Landskrona), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Landskrona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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