Gefle 1-1 IK Oddevold — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.45
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
16%
6.24
X/2
14%
4.9
X/X
9%
4.6
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
14%
3.16
2/X
10%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.54/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.09
+11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
0W-0D-1L
AWAY IK Oddevold
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.04.2024 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold 2-1 HT 1-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
1-1
AWAY IK Oddevold
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gefle vs IK Oddevold
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle and IK Oddevold couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gefle had 56% of the ball to IK Oddevold's 44%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Gefle vs IK Oddevold?

Gefle 1-1 IK Oddevold in the Sweden - Superettan on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs IK Oddevold?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gefle 38%, draw 26%, IK Oddevold 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gefle), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gefle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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