Cartagena vs Granada Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cartagena v Granada — Team-Based Signals
Cartagena vs Granada Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cartagena
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Granada
İS2
3-2
HT 1-0
Granada
HAZ
2-1
HT 2-0
Cartagena
İS2
2-1
HT 2-1
Granada
İS2
Cartagena 2-3 Granada — Actual Match Statistics
Granada edged past Cartagena 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Granada as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cartagena had 51% of the ball to Granada's 49%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 2.23 to 2.60.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Granada led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cartagena and 1.67 for Granada.
What was the final score of Cartagena vs Granada?
Cartagena 2-3 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Granada?
Before kick-off our model rated an Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 25%, draw 25%, Granada 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.