Patronato 0-1 Colegiales — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Apr 2025

Patronato
0-1 HT 0-1
Colegiales
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Patronato vs Colegiales Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.29
No
69%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-11.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.9pp
31%
BTTS Yes
40%
-8.1pp
69%
BTTS No
60%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Patronato v Colegiales — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Colegiales EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.27/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.50
-1% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +135%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Colegiales
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colegiales edged past Patronato 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Colegiales made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Colegiales?

Patronato 0-1 Colegiales in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Colegiales?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Patronato 39%, draw 30%, Colegiales 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Patronato) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patronato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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