Tromsö 2-3 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.09
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
21%
4.1
X/2
8%
10.45
X/X
12%
5.2
2/1
10%
23.75
2/2
11%
8.76
2/X
6%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.90/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.68
-12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 70%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.4 Crosses 15.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.46 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
362 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 0-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
21.04.2024 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
14.08.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
03.08.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
30.10.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-1 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
30.06.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 0-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
2-3
AWAY Kristiansund BK
3.22 xG 2.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
428 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund BK edged past Tromsö 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Tromsö at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Tromsö had 60% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 40%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 3.22 to 2.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tromsö.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tromsö and 0.67 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Kristiansund BK?

Tromsö 2-3 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 50%, draw 25%, Kristiansund BK 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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