Kristiansund BK 1-0 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Apr 2024

Kristiansund BK
1-0 HT 1-0
Tromsö
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Kristiansund BK vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.2
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.92
X/2
15%
5.13
X/X
11%
4.35
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.44
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · X/1 at 5.92 — our 19% vs market 12.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kristiansund BK v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -10%
1.55/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.00
+23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +109%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.8 Crosses 10.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Kristiansund BK vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund BK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tromsö
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
329 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.08.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 1-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
03.08.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
30.10.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-1 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
30.06.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 0-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
06.10.2019 Tromsö Tromsö 5-0 HT 3-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
05.05.2019 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR

Kristiansund BK 1-0 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund BK
1-0
AWAY Tromsö
1.89 xG 0.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 418
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kristiansund BK vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund BK edged past Tromsö 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kristiansund BK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kristiansund BK had 46% of the ball to Tromsö's 54%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.89 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kristiansund BK's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kristiansund BK and 1.50 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Kristiansund BK vs Tromsö?

Kristiansund BK 1-0 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund BK vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kristiansund BK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund BK 40%, draw 24%, Tromsö 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kristiansund BK) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kristiansund BK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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