Haugesund 1-3 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Apr 2024

Haugesund
1-3 HT 0-2
Rosenborg
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Haugesund vs Rosenborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
22%
3.72
6+ Goals
13%
15.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.72 — our 22% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.67
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
15%
6.45
X/2
16%
4.83
X/X
9%
4.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.1
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haugesund v Rosenborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.08/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.17
-3% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
17.2 Crosses 21.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3

Haugesund vs Rosenborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.64 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 Passes 409
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.05.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
11.09.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 1-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
26.05.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-3 HT 1-3 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
27.10.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
30.06.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR

Haugesund 1-3 Rosenborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
1-3
AWAY Rosenborg
1.42 xG 2.66
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
411 Passes 337
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg saw off Haugesund 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Rosenborg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Haugesund had 55% of the ball to Rosenborg's 45%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.42 to 2.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Haugesund and 1.17 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Rosenborg?

Haugesund 1-3 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 33%, draw 27%, Rosenborg 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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