HamKam 0-1 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Apr 2024

HamKam
0-1 HT 0-1
Stromsgodset
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

HamKam vs Stromsgodset Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.54
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
10%
5.32
X/2
14%
5.82
X/X
11%
4.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.02
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HamKam v Stromsgodset — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.08/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.19
-7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
22.2 Crosses 19.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3

HamKam vs Stromsgodset Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.38 xG 0.92
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
240 Passes 401
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
23.04.2023 HamKam HamKam 2-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
22.10.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 1-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
24.07.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
31.08.2008 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
19.05.2008 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR

HamKam 0-1 Stromsgodset — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
0-1
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.48 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
347 Passes 289
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset edged past HamKam 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Stromsgodset found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HamKam had 54% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 46%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.48 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HamKam had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HamKam and 0.67 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Stromsgodset?

HamKam 0-1 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split HamKam 40%, draw 27%, Stromsgodset 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HamKam) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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