Sarpsborg 08 0-2 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.59
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
20%
4.56
X/2
10%
7.64
X/X
14%
5.13
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
9%
5.33
2/X
5%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.60/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.4 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
0-2
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.57 xG 1.49
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
507 Passes 205
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo saw off Sarpsborg 08 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 67% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 33%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.57 to 1.49.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM Oslo?

Sarpsborg 08 0-2 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 47%, draw 26%, KFUM Oslo 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✗ BTTS Yes
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