Brann 2-0 Odds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Apr 2024

Brann
2-0 HT 1-0
Odds BK
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Brann vs Odds BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.76
No
38%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.74
2-3 Goals
45%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.51
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
21.4
X/1
23%
3.59
X/2
7%
18.6
X/X
9%
8.44
2/1
8%
20.6
2/2
7%
13.4
2/X
6%
21.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-17.7pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.2pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.8pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brann v Odds BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Odds BK EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
2.13/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.94
-19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
23.2 Crosses 10.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brann vs Odds BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Odds BK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.02 xG 1.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
416 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
16.04.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
24.10.2021 Odds BK Odds BK 3-3 HT 2-2 Brann Brann NOR
20.06.2021 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
22.12.2020 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 1-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
15.07.2020 Odds BK Odds BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR

Brann 2-0 Odds BK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
2-0
AWAY Odds BK
2.04 xG 0.38
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
429 Passes 259
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
46 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brann vs Odds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann got the better of Odds BK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brann as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brann had 59% of the ball to Odds BK's 41%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 2.04 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odds BK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brann and 1.83 for Odds BK.

What was the final score of Brann vs Odds BK?

Brann 2-0 Odds BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Odds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Brann 53%, draw 24%, Odds BK 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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