Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
2-0
HT 2-0
Shinnik
RUS1
0-1
HT 0-0
Shinnik
RUS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Arsenal Tula
RUS1
Shinnik edged past Arsenal Tula 2-1 in the Russia - FNL on 20 Apr 2025. Half-time: 1-0.
It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.
On the day, Shinnik had 38% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 62%, shots finished 6-9.
Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shinnik have the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shinnik and 1.00 for Arsenal Tula.
What was the final score of Shinnik vs Arsenal Tula?
Shinnik 2-1 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Arsenal Tula?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 27%, draw 33%, Arsenal Tula 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.