FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -22%
1.34/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.30
-12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
2W-0D-1L
AWAY FK Ufa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
07.05.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
16.10.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
2-0
AWAY FK Ufa
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ FK Rodina Moskva vs FK Ufa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FK Rodina Moskva beat FK Ufa 2-0 in the Russia - FNL on 20 Apr 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 44% of the ball to FK Ufa's 56%, shots finished 9-19.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 1.00 for FK Ufa.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs FK Ufa?

FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 54%, draw 25%, FK Ufa 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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