20/04/2025
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Ben Guerdane vs Gabes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
34%
Draw
32%
24%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ben Guerdane v Gabes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ben Guerdane
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gabes
EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+57% /
+57%
1.09/0.97
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
+3%
/
-17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+95%
/
+4%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
3
250 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
284 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
–
Ben Guerdane vs Gabes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ben Guerdane
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Gabes
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ben Guerdane vs Gabes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ben Guerdane swept aside Gabes 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ben Guerdane as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.
What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs Gabes?
Ben Guerdane 3-0 Gabes in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs Gabes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ben Guerdane win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 42%, draw 34%, Gabes 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ben Guerdane), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ben Guerdane)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TUN1
More Tunisia - 1st Division
20 Apr 2025