Gabes 1-1 Ben Guerdane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2024

Gabes
1-1 HT 1-0
Ben Guerdane
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Gabes vs Ben Guerdane Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.41
Over 2.5
29%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
6.38
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
71%
Under 2.5
67%
+3.7pp
29%
Over 2.5
33%
-3.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.7pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gabes v Ben Guerdane — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gabes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 30%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.70
+39% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +67%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.7
POST-MATCH Gabes vs Ben Guerdane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gabes and Ben Guerdane couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gabes at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Gabes vs Ben Guerdane?

Gabes 1-1 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gabes vs Ben Guerdane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gabes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gabes 43%, draw 31%, Ben Guerdane 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gabes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gabes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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