CA Bizertin 1-0 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.61
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.6
No
50%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.6
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
58%
-15.2pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.4pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
34%
+15.6pp
50%
BTTS No
66%
-15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 18%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.23/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.68
-84% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Bizertin
0W-1D-1L
AWAY EGS Gafsa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.05.2024 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 2-2 HT 1-1 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa TUN
24.02.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN
POST-MATCH CA Bizertin vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Bizertin squeezed past EGS Gafsa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Bizertin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, EGS Gafsa led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA Bizertin and 1.50 for EGS Gafsa.

What was the final score of CA Bizertin vs EGS Gafsa?

CA Bizertin 1-0 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Bizertin vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Bizertin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CA Bizertin 43%, draw 35%, EGS Gafsa 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Bizertin), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Bizertin) ✓ Under 2.5
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