CA Bizertin 2-2 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.33
Over 2.5
30%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.95
No
71%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.75
2-3 Goals
34%
1.95
4-5 Goals
14%
8.66
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.0pp
70%
Under 2.5
72%
-1.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
28%
+1.4pp
29%
BTTS Yes
30%
-1.1pp
71%
BTTS No
70%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 21%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.27/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.30
+107% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Bizertin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY EGS Gafsa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.02.2024 EGS Gafsa EGS Gafsa 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN
POST-MATCH CA Bizertin vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Bizertin and EGS Gafsa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was CA Bizertin at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (71%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of CA Bizertin vs EGS Gafsa?

CA Bizertin 2-2 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Bizertin vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Bizertin win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split CA Bizertin 53%, draw 29%, EGS Gafsa 18%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CA Bizertin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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