ES Metlaoui 2-1 Olympique Beja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
No
68%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.4pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+11.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympique Beja EU Bookmakers 11%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.57/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/1.14
-11% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +28%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Olympique Beja
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.02.2024 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 2-1 HT 2-1 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
05.02.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1B
06.11.2022 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 3-1 HT 0-1 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
29.05.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN
18.05.2022 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja 2-0 HT 2-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
09.01.2021 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympique Beja Olympique Beja TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Olympique Beja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui edged past Olympique Beja 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ES Metlaoui as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympique Beja led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ES Metlaoui and 1.50 for Olympique Beja.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Olympique Beja?

ES Metlaoui 2-1 Olympique Beja in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Olympique Beja?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 60%, draw 20%, Olympique Beja 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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