Cerro 1-2 Torque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Apr 2025

Cerro
1-2 HT 0-1
Torque
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Torque EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.96/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.99
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Torque
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2023 Torque Torque 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
17.04.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-2 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
01.02.2021 Cerro Cerro 1-3 HT 1-2 Torque Torque URU
07.03.2020 Torque Torque 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-2
AWAY Torque
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Torque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torque nicked a narrow win over Cerro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torque as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro had 50% of the ball to Torque's 50%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torque led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerro and 1.75 for Torque.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Torque?

Cerro 1-2 Torque in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Torque?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cerro 26%, draw 33%, Torque 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torque) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torque) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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