Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montevideo Wanderers v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Montevideo Wanderers
URU
Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol edged past Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 38% of the ball to CA Penarol's 62%, shots finished 7-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 0.67 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol?
Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 20%, draw 28%, CA Penarol 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.