Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
0.74/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.72
-7% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CA Penarol
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
12.05.2024 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.12.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
25.06.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
13.05.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
03.10.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0-2
AWAY CA Penarol
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol got the better of Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 41% of the ball to CA Penarol's 59%, shots finished 7-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 0.67 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol?

Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 24%, draw 25%, CA Penarol 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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