Hércules 2-2 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.4
Draw
14%
4.19
Away
73%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
48%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
15%
-2.0pp
14%
Draw
21%
-6.5pp
73%
Away Win
64%
+8.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hércules EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 69%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.82/2.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/0.75
-14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
353 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hércules
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
22.02.2026 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-2 HT 1-2 Hércules Hércules ELSAL
06.11.2025 Hércules Hércules 1-3 HT 0-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
04.09.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Hércules Hércules ELSAL
POST-MATCH Hércules vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hércules and Luis Angel Firpo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Luis Angel Firpo at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hércules and 2.67 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Hércules vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Hércules 2-2 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hércules vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Hércules 13%, draw 14%, Luis Angel Firpo 73%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
20 Apr 2026
00:00 Aguila vs Inter FA Analysis →
02:00 FAS vs Cacahuatique Analysis →