Luis Angel Firpo 3-2 Hércules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2026

Luis Angel Firpo
3-2 HT 1-2
Hércules
📅22/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Luis Angel Firpo vs Hércules Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.28
Draw
14%
5.15
Away
5%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
1%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
2%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
74%
+7.1pp
14%
Draw
16%
-2.2pp
5%
Away Win
10%
-4.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luis Angel Firpo v Hércules — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Hércules EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.77/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.67
-6% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -35%
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
450 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Luis Angel Firpo vs Hércules Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Hércules
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
06.11.2025 Hércules Hércules 1-3 HT 0-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
04.09.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Hércules Hércules ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Hércules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo squeezed past Hércules 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 0.50 for Hércules.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Hércules?

Luis Angel Firpo 3-2 Hércules in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Hércules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 81%, draw 14%, Hércules 5%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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