Alianza 1-0 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +21%
1.81/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.98
+30% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
30.11.2025 Alianza Alianza 3-0 HT 2-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
24.11.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
06.11.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
04.09.2025 Alianza Alianza 3-1 HT 2-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.05.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.01.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-4 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza nicked a narrow win over Municipal Limeno 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alianza and 0.33 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?

Alianza 1-0 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alianza 47%, draw 27%, Municipal Limeno 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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