Alianza 3-1 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +34%
1.71/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.04
+6% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
25.05.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.01.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-4 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.09.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
28.07.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
26.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 5-0 HT 3-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
05.05.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-3 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza beat Municipal Limeno 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alianza and 0.67 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?

Alianza 3-1 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Alianza 52%, draw 25%, Municipal Limeno 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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