Alianza vs Municipal Limeno Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza v Municipal Limeno — Team-Based Signals
Alianza vs Municipal Limeno Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Alianza
ELSAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Municipal Limeno
ELSAL
4-0
HT 3-0
Municipal Limeno
ELSAL
Alianza and Municipal Limeno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alianza at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Alianza and 0.17 for Municipal Limeno.
What was the final score of Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?
Alianza 1-1 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alianza 55%, draw 28%, Municipal Limeno 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.