Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.85/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.37
+13% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Platense
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.05.2024 Platense Platense 1-2 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
18.03.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
13.11.2023 Platense Platense 1-3 HT 0-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
18.09.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ELSAL
30.03.2023 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
02.02.2023 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-1 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo squeezed past Platense 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.00 for Platense.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Platense?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Platense in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 48%, draw 25%, Platense 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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