Alianza 5-0 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.74/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.55
+0% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-3 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
21.03.2024 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
12.11.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
16.09.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.04.2022 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 3-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
21.02.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza swept aside Municipal Limeno 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alianza and 0.17 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?

Alianza 5-0 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alianza 53%, draw 24%, Municipal Limeno 23%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →