Municipal Limeno 1-3 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 5 May 2024

Municipal Limeno
1-3 HT 1-1
Alianza
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Municipal Limeno vs Alianza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Municipal Limeno v Alianza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
0.67/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.05
-42% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
252 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Municipal Limeno vs Alianza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alianza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.03.2024 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
12.11.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
16.09.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.04.2022 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 3-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
21.02.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
03.10.2021 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza beat Municipal Limeno 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Alianza found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Municipal Limeno and 2.17 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Alianza?

Municipal Limeno 1-3 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 34%, draw 27%, Alianza 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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