Santa Tecla 3-4 Jocoro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jocoro EU Bookmakers 27%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.32/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.34
-19% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Tecla
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jocoro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.03.2024 Jocoro Jocoro 0-2 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
19.10.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 3-1 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
28.09.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-1 HT 1-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
23.08.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-0 HT 0-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
17.04.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-0 HT 0-0 Jocoro Jocoro ELSAL
20.02.2023 Jocoro Jocoro 2-3 HT 2-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Santa Tecla vs Jocoro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jocoro squeezed past Santa Tecla 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Tecla at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Tecla had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Tecla and 1.00 for Jocoro.

What was the final score of Santa Tecla vs Jocoro?

Santa Tecla 3-4 Jocoro in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Tecla vs Jocoro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Tecla win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Santa Tecla 53%, draw 20%, Jocoro 27%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Tecla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Tecla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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