Dragon 3-1 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 5 May 2024

Dragon
3-1 HT 0-0
Isidro Metapan
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
El Salvador - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Dragon vs Isidro Metapan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.8
Over 2.5
36%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.75
No
62%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
53%
-14.7pp
62%
BTTS No
47%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dragon v Isidro Metapan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dragon EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
0.81/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.54
-31% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 4.0

Dragon vs Isidro Metapan Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dragon
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-1 HT 1-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
19.10.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 0-1 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
24.08.2023 Dragon Dragon 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
24.04.2023 Dragon Dragon 1-2 HT 0-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
26.02.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Dragon Dragon ELSAL
POST-MATCH Dragon vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dragon got the better of Isidro Metapan 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dragon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Dragon and 1.20 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Dragon vs Isidro Metapan?

Dragon 3-1 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dragon vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dragon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dragon 39%, draw 28%, Isidro Metapan 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dragon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dragon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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