Fuerte San Francisco 2-0 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
36%
+8.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
36%
-9.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 40%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +13%
0.82/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.14
-34% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Once Deportivo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
23.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
21.08.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco saw off Once Deportivo 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fuerte San Francisco as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 0.67 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo?

Fuerte San Francisco 2-0 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuerte San Francisco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 45%, draw 29%, Once Deportivo 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fuerte San Francisco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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