Alianza 4-0 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -1%
1.47/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.49
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
16.09.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.04.2022 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 3-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
21.02.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
03.10.2021 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza ran out comfortable winners over Municipal Limeno 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Alianza and 0.00 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?

Alianza 4-0 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alianza 45%, draw 27%, Municipal Limeno 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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