Santa Tecla 1-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 21 Mar 2024

📅21/03/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Tecla EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 43%
-18% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.16/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.89
-2% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Tecla
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Aguila
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 2-2 HT 1-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
14.08.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
20.04.2023 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
29.01.2023 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 1-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.03.2022 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.01.2022 Aguila Aguila 4-1 HT 2-1 Santa Tecla Santa Tecla ELSAL
POST-MATCH Santa Tecla vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila nicked a narrow win over Santa Tecla 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Aguila made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Tecla and 2.33 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Santa Tecla vs Aguila?

Santa Tecla 1-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 21/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Tecla vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Santa Tecla 34%, draw 27%, Aguila 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
21 Mar 2024
04:30 Alianza vs Municipal Limeno Analysis →