Municipal Limeno 1-0 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 51%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
0.71/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.97
-39% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alianza
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
26.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 5-0 HT 3-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
05.05.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-3 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
21.03.2024 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
12.11.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
16.09.2023 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno nicked a narrow win over Alianza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Municipal Limeno and 2.50 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Alianza?

Municipal Limeno 1-0 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 29%, draw 26%, Alianza 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →