Municipal Limeno 1-4 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
0.97/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.09
-14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alianza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
28.07.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
26.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 5-0 HT 3-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
05.05.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-3 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
21.03.2024 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
12.11.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza cruised past Municipal Limeno 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Alianza found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Municipal Limeno and 2.50 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Alianza?

Municipal Limeno 1-4 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 37%, draw 27%, Alianza 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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