Alianza 3-0 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.76/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.24
+8% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
24.11.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
06.11.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
04.09.2025 Alianza Alianza 3-1 HT 2-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.05.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.01.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-4 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.09.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza ran out comfortable winners over Municipal Limeno 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza and 0.50 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?

Alianza 3-0 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alianza 56%, draw 25%, Municipal Limeno 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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