Municipal Limeno 0-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
0.90/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.07
-17% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
227 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alianza
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
04.09.2025 Alianza Alianza 3-1 HT 2-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.05.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
19.01.2025 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-4 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.09.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
28.07.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
26.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 5-0 HT 3-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza nicked a narrow win over Municipal Limeno 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Municipal Limeno and 2.17 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Alianza?

Municipal Limeno 0-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 30%, draw 26%, Alianza 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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