Mictlan 2-3 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.71
Over 2.5
34%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.6pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
55%
+11.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
45%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mictlan EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -21%
1.54/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.15
+17% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mictlan
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2026 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-0 HT 0-0 Mictlan Mictlan GUAT
12.10.2025 Mictlan Mictlan 2-1 HT 0-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
03.08.2025 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Mictlan Mictlan GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mictlan
2-3
AWAY Xelaju MC
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mictlan vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC squeezed past Mictlan 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mictlan at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mictlan had 49% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 51%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mictlan and 1.00 for Xelaju MC.

What was the final score of Mictlan vs Xelaju MC?

Mictlan 2-3 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mictlan vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mictlan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mictlan 45%, draw 33%, Xelaju MC 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mictlan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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