Antigua GFC 2-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Apr 2026

📅20/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
62%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
2.12/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.71
+21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2026 Malacateco Malacateco 2-2 HT 0-2 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
01.12.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
21.09.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 3-1 HT 2-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
10.04.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 1-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
06.02.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-3 HT 1-2 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
15.09.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-1 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC nicked a narrow win over Malacateco 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.67 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

Antigua GFC 2-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 20/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 61%, draw 23%, Malacateco 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Over 2.5
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